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Tough to compare them since one's a sprint race and the other's a TT, but the variations in weather and track conditions at IOM for sure make it riskier.
Either race, the smallest mistake WILL LIKELY result in serious injury or worse. I saw the footage from Carreira and it looked like he had a mechanical or maybe just ran wide, smacking solid Armco head-on at 120 mph would never end well. Godspeed.